Hey, I’ve got something we need to talk about - but I don’t want anyone to hear.
Leaders need a safe place to discuss pressing climate issues without risking their personal or professional reputation.
To listen to an audio reading of this article please click below.
There comes a point when you need to look at the work being done (the inputs), and the results being achieved (the outputs), and accept that it’s not working.
Science confirms that the planet is rapidly heating and the frequency of climate impacts is accelerating. We’re now experiencing those 1 in 100 year floods, forest fires and droughts every year or two (“tail risks”). What’s even more frightening is that the next wave of 1 in 100 year storms will be more massive than anything we’ve ever seen, and with ecosystem degradation accelerating, those new impacts will quickly become our annual reality. Insurance, Investments, Pensions and Banking cannot survive in that reality, and without these 4 pillars of our economic system we will almost certainly move towards mass insolvency. And from there it’s just a stone's throw away from planetary insolvency (as referenced in the 2024 "Climate Scorpion" report). Words like retirement, travel, dream home and inheritance will be replaced with words like; climate-induced structural inflation, insecure housing, widespread crop failure, water shortages, sacrifice zones and mass migration.
Hushed Tones
The stark reality is that we’re not doing nearly enough to change course. But that shouldn’t come as a surprise; the mainstream has filled our screens with a painless narrative which makes it nearly impossible for forward thinking business people to dig deeper and seek out difficult and increasingly urgent conversations. In fact, you’d be hard pressed to hear any meaningful dialogue at a mainstream event - like how incredibly close we are to widespread economic insolvency. You don’t hear about it because those conversations are still considered too risky to hold in public settings, so they’re being discussed in hushed tones in a corner with just 1 or 2 trusted associates where they can feel safe to share their unfiltered beliefs. This type of fear is a recipe for an heroic failure, and the proof of this failure, is just how close we are to planetary insolvency.
A Safe Place
In recent conversations with influential leaders from the banking, insurance, pension, and investment sectors, they told us about their frustrations about not being able to reach beyond their siloed group. They want more. They want a wider engagement of these pressing issues. They want a “safe” place where they can remove the self imposed muzzles and have frank discussions about how to strategize for these looming climate challenges, not only for their industry but also for their own precarious employment futures, and for some, their legacies. And yet, despite the consensus regarding the urgent need for these conversations about the extreme risks and threats to solvency, there's still an understandable wariness about straying too far from the accepted narrative and risking personal or professional ridicule that could damage their reputation. And therein lies the problem; as the world exists today, it’s simply not worth the risk to discuss these “extreme” scenarios at “pro-green-growth” mainstream events.
Insolvency - The Real Threat
What does exist today are “safe” discussions at mainstream events that explore the current climate threats and how to address them. How to prepare for new and more intense climate destruction. And how we can learn from our mistakes and rebuild better. Of course, this assumes that there will still be a foundation to build upon, but I’m getting ahead of myself.
For many leaders these discussions don’t go far enough. They’re craving something more. A safe place to engage with how to prepare for a new reality - the arrival of and the rapid increase in the severity of “tail risks'' that threaten us with widespread insolvency. And while they’re exploring that difficult question, they will also have the perfect network to deal with something even more complicated:
How can the 4 financial sectors (Insurance, Banking, Pensions and Investing) - which all play a foundational role in our economic system - continue to expand and grow, when their very success, ironically enough, is also the greatest threat to their own continued viability. That is to say, they provide the fuel that enables businesses to engage in business activity which is causing the breaching of climate tipping points and environmental limits, resulting in planetary insolvency. And once that foundation is broken, there won’t be a place from which to rebuild better.
The Scorpion’s Tail Club - The Solution
Until now there hasn’t been a safe place for these discreet and urgent conversations. To address this need, Climobilize is launching “The Scorpion's Tail Club” - an exclusive by-invite-only forum, operating under Chatham House rules. Here financial leaders can safely interact through a series of high level members-only events (and action oriented working groups) and engage in these important discussions - discreetly and candidly.
The events will provide Club members with a “seat at the table” as they work towards a unified stance on policy direction, and then follow up with concrete steps, including preparation of position papers along with the supporting legislation. These papers will include analyses of challenges, opportunities, potential opponents and how to overcome or neutralize their objections. The beauty of this approach is that it not only fills a pressing need but it also ensures confidentiality, allowing members to talk freely, without the risk of potential damage to their personal reputation or business credibility.
If you or someone you know is in the Insurance, Banking, Pension or Investment sectors and wants to engage in these types of discussions, we want to talk to you.
Brad Zarnett and Ian Kaplan
Co-Founders, Climobilize Scorpion’s Tail Club
*** Click here to read our next article about “tail risks” titled: “When it comes to climate, the tail [risk] really is wagging the dog.” ***
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